Hurricane Tammy Journey

H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Journey ...

and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has reinforced modestly because Friday night.

The storm strengthened into a typhoon on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon area for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.

By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.

The path northward far from the Caribbean has become less particular. Tammy was initially expected to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system guidance is now recommending that the storm might wander around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.

Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a large and incredibly powerful typhoon that caused enormous damage and significant death. It is the costliest typhoon to ever strike the United States, going beyond the record formerly held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.


Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Hurricane Katrina was because of flooding brought on by engineering flaws in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, along with large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.

Typhoon cautions have now been provided for several islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates hurricane conditions are expected in a few of these areas. You can see the most recent warnings and watches in the map below.

Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy must spread out throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.

Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area approximately 4 inches).

T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.

Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center stated.

Air Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were taking place over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.

Norma is anticipated to be a little weaker by the time it hits land, however it still will be a cyclone that might bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the typhoon center said.

In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Typhoon Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has activated typhoon warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island nations and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 miles per hour.

Neither storm is a threat to the US.

In the Atlantic, Tammy kept optimal sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.

The Classification 1 hurricane lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center said.

Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extended external up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles.

Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is only the third typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to typhoon expert Michael Lowry.

It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic considering that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.

Hurricane professionals formerly alerted typhoons might form in unusual locations later in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.

A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.

Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe hazards and might lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.

Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.

With Tammy in the Atlantic, only two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.

Hurricane Tammy